What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

    Cuba leads by 2 pts

    1. Cuba#14%
    2. Puerto Rico#22%
    3. Venezuela#32%
    Resolves
    Jan 20, 2029
    Volume
    $2.0M
    24h
    $537
    Candidates
    8
    kalshi1 venue · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Cuba4%
    • Puerto Rico2%
    • Venezuela2%
    • Canada2%
    • Greenland2%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Cuba$274.5K vol4%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Puerto Rico$228.1K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Venezuela$445.5K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Canada$241.9K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Greenland$462.1K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    District of Columbia$137.9K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Guam$87.5K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Colombia$129.0K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 20, 2029
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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