Movies

    What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (November 17)

    Reminders of Him leads by 7 pts · 5 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Reminders of Him#143%
    2. Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas#236%
    3. Heartland#39%
    #4 Misty Green8%#5 A Dog's Perfect Christmas5%+11 more
    Resolves
    Nov 17, 2026
    Volume
    $9.5K
    24h
    $9.4K
    Liquidity
    $21.2K
    Outcomes
    16
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Reminders of Him43%
    • Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas36%
    • Heartland9%
    • Misty Green8%
    • A Dog's Perfect Christmas5%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story24h
      15¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. The Croods24h
      12¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Reminders of Him$4.1K vol43%—kalshi44¢46¢ after fees
    Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas$208 vol · 4¢ apart36%—kalshi39¢41¢ after fees
    Heartland$101 vol9%—kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Misty Green$0 vol8%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees
    A Dog's Perfect Christmas$2.1K vol5%—kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    King Arthur: Legend of the Sword$0 vol4%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    The Croods$59 vol · 12¢ apart2%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Kidnapped in Her Own Home: The Martha Carelli Story$490 vol2%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story$17 vol · 15¢ apart2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Heist$17 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • The Croods12¢buy kalshi
    • Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas4¢buy kalshi
    • A Dog's Perfect Christmas2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Reminders of Him is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of t…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, November 17, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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