Movies

    What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (November 17)

    Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas leads by 50 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas#162%
    2. Heartland#212%
    3. A Dog's Perfect Christmas#37%
    #4 Sniper: The Last Stand3%#5 Reminders of Him3%+11 more
    Resolves
    Nov 17, 2026
    Volume
    $6.8K
    24h
    $3.9K
    Liquidity
    $8.9K
    Outcomes
    16
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas62%
    • Heartland12%
    • A Dog's Perfect Christmas7%
    • Sniper: The Last Stand3%
    • Reminders of Him3%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. A Dog's Perfect Christmas24h
      ▼ 17¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. The Day After Tomorrow24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Heartland24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas$2.2K vol62%—kalshi64¢66¢ after fees
    Heartland$906 vol12%▼ 3kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    A Dog's Perfect Christmas$2.7K vol7%▼ 17kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Sniper: The Last Stand$26 vol3%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Reminders of Him$25 vol3%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Heist$41 vol3%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Sing 2$30 vol3%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Misty Green$10 vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    Final Destination: Bloodlines$26 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story$0 vol2%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, November 17, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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