What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

    Resolves May 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $3.0M

    +$983.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    17¢

    Oil Sanction Relief

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Unfreeze Iranian Assets

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets · Showing 4
    #24H
    1
    Oil Sanction Relief📈 Trending
    17¢17¢
    $200.8K+$81.8K 24h
    215¢16¢
    $225.2K+$47.2K 24h
    -2¢
    3
    $1.8M+$457.4K 24h
    -1¢
    4
    $804.0K+$397.1K 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Oil Sanction Relief
    17%
    17¢
    2Unfreeze Iranian Assets
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    3Enrichment of Uranium
    -1¢
    4Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~May 31, 2026

    ~12 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $3.0M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $53K No on Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

    polymarket · about 2 hours ago

    Whale

    sold $22K No on Enrichment of Uranium

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Whale

    bought $21K No on Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

    polymarket · 2 days ago

    Whale

    sold $18K No on Enrichment of Uranium

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.3% in 24h

      Enrichment of Uranium · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.9% in 24h

      Unfreeze Iranian Assets · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 19.4% in 24h

      Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.9% in 24h

      Oil Sanction Relief · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.9% in 24h

      Unfreeze Iranian Assets · Polymarket