What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

    What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion? Live odds across 7 markets: Ground Support Equipment Failure at 80¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advic

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $422

    +$13 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    46¢

    Propellant Leak

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -29¢

    Software or Control System Failure

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    146¢79¢
    $40
    -23¢
    245¢80¢
    $68
    -18¢
    335¢62¢
    $92+$13 24h
    -15¢
    430¢54¢
    $40
    -29¢
    516¢23¢
    $43
    -7¢
    614¢27¢
    $65
    +6¢
    716¢
    $73

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Propellant Leak
    46%
    46¢-23¢
    2Ground Support Equipment Failure
    45%
    45¢-18¢
    3Valve or Plumbing Failure
    35%
    35¢-15¢
    4Software or Control System Failure
    30%
    30¢-29¢
    5Engine Failure
    16%
    16¢-7¢
    6No Cause Announced By December 31
    14%
    14¢+6¢
    7Other

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $422

    Whale Activity

    Loading...