WA-05 House Election Winner

    Michael Baumgartner leads by 100 pts

    1. Michael Baumgartner#1>99%
    2. Carmela Conroy#2<1%
    Resolves
    Nov 3, 2026
    Volume
    $771.2K
    24h
    $6.6K
    Liquidity
    $45.3K
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US2 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Michael Baumgartner>99%
    • Carmela Conroy<1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Michael Baumgartner$345.5K vol>99%——
    Carmela Conroy$425.7K vol<1%▼ 1Polymarket US1¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively ca…

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    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    WA-05 House Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 3, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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