WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Democrat 40-45% at 37¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
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    WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $537

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    37¢

    Democrat 40-45%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -36¢

    Democrat 0-10%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets · Showing 10
    #
    1
    Democrat 40-45%
    		37¢37¢
    $0
    		-36¢—
    2
    Democrat 15-20%
    		35¢35¢
    $0
    		-34¢—
    3
    Democrat 0-10%
    		34¢34¢
    $0
    		-36¢—
    4
    Democrat 30-35%
    		33¢33¢
    $0
    		-26¢—
    5
    Republican Wins Hot
    		33¢33¢
    $537
    		-31¢—
    6
    Democrat 10-15%
    		33¢33¢
    $0
    		-30¢—
    7
    Democrat 45%+
    		33¢33¢
    $0
    		-33¢—
    8
    Democrat 25-30%
    		32¢32¢
    $0
    		-27¢—
    9
    Democrat 35-40%
    		32¢32¢
    $0
    		-28¢—
    10
    Democrat 20-25%
    		32¢32¢
    $0
    		-25¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 40-45%
    37%
    37¢-36¢
    2Democrat 15-20%
    35%
    35¢-34¢
    3Democrat 0-10%
    34%
    34¢-36¢
    4Democrat 30-35%
    33%
    33¢-26¢
    5Republican Wins
    33%
    33¢-31¢
    6Democrat 10-15%
    33%
    33¢-30¢
    7Democrat 45%+
    33%
    33¢-33¢
    8Democrat 25-30%
    32%
    32¢-27¢
    9Democrat 35-40%
    32%
    32¢-28¢
    10Democrat 20-25%
    32%
    32¢-25¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~50 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $537

    Whale Activity

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