Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner
Liberal–National leads by 1 pt · 2 candidates at 5%+
Liberal–National#1Liberal–National97%
Liberals and Nationals#2Liberals and Nationals96%▲ 2- Australian Labor Party#3Australian Labor Party4%▼ 1
- Resolves
- Nov 28, 2026
- Volume
- $52.1K
- 24h
- $219
- Liquidity
- $109.9K
- Candidates
- 5
2 venues · 5 marketsWho’s winning
Top 5, each at its busiest venue- Liberal–National97%
- Liberals and Nationals96%
- Australian Labor Party4%
- One Nation2%
Greens<1%
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Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Australian Labor Party3¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If Australian Labor Party wins the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:5…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Sat, November 28, 2026
Compared across 2 venues