TRADING OPEN

    VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $17.9K

    +$188 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $4.6K
    ——
    222¢22¢
    $4.2K+$144 24h
    +1¢—
    313¢13¢
    $649+$5 24h
    +5¢—
    410¢10¢
    $814
    -9¢—
    510¢10¢
    $1.5K
    -8¢—
    6
    Republican 25-30%📈 Trending
    8¢8¢
    $3.8K+$39 24h
    -7¢—
    75¢5¢
    $625
    -4¢—
    85¢5¢
    $586
    -4¢—
    94¢4¢
    $566
    -6¢—
    101¢1¢
    $554
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30-35%
    28%
    28¢—
    2Republican 35-40%
    22%
    22¢+1¢
    3Republican 55%+
    13%
    13¢+5¢
    4Republican 40-45%
    10¢-9¢
    5Republican 15-25%
    10¢-8¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    8¢-7¢
    7Republican 0-15%
    5¢-4¢
    8Republican 45-50%
    5¢-4¢
    9Republican 50-55%
    4¢-6¢
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $17.9K

    Whale Activity

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