VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Democrat 5-15% at 24¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
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    VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $220

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Democrat 5-15%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -47¢

    Democrat 0-5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets · Showing 10
    #
    1
    Democrat 5-15%
    		24¢24¢
    $20
    		-33¢—
    2
    Democrat 25-30%
    		24¢24¢
    $20
    		-20¢—
    3
    Democrat 20-25%
    		24¢24¢
    $20
    		-22¢—
    4
    Democrat 45%+
    		23¢23¢
    $20
    		-39¢—
    5
    Democrat 35-40%
    		22¢22¢
    $20
    		-46¢—
    6
    Democrat 30-35%
    		22¢22¢
    $20
    		-46¢—
    7
    Democrat 0-5%
    		20¢20¢
    $20
    		-47¢—
    8
    Democrat 15-20%
    		19¢19¢
    $20
    		-32¢—
    9
    Democrat 40-45%
    		19¢19¢
    $20
    		-45¢—
    10
    Republican Wins
    		7¢7¢
    $40
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 5-15%
    24%
    24¢-33¢
    2Democrat 25-30%
    24%
    24¢-20¢
    3Democrat 20-25%
    24%
    24¢-22¢
    4Democrat 45%+
    23%
    23¢-39¢
    5Democrat 35-40%
    22%
    22¢-46¢
    6Democrat 30-35%
    22%
    22¢-46¢
    7Democrat 0-5%
    20%
    20¢-47¢
    8Democrat 15-20%
    19%
    19¢-32¢
    9Democrat 40-45%
    19%
    19¢-45¢
    10Republican Wins
    7¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~70 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $220

    Whale Activity

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