TRADING OPEN

    UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $25.4K

    +$761 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    23¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 15-20%
    		23¢23¢
    $4.2K+$83 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    Republican 20-25%
    		22¢22¢
    $2.9K+$160 24h
    		——
    3
    Republican 5-15%
    		21¢21¢
    $3.2K+$210 24h
    		-4¢—
    4
    Republican 25-30%
    		12¢12¢
    $2.8K+$131 24h
    		-4¢—
    5
    Republican 40-45%
    		6¢6¢
    $2.3K+$33 24h
    		-7¢—
    6
    Republican 0-5%
    		4¢4¢
    $655+$33 24h
    		-5¢—
    7
    Republican 35-40%📈 Trending
    		3¢3¢
    $4.4K+$33 24h
    		-9¢—
    8
    Republican 30-35%
    		3¢3¢
    $1.6K+$33 24h
    		-5¢—
    9
    Republican 45%+
    		1¢1¢
    $2.7K+$33 24h
    		-5¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $760+$13 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 15-20%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    22%
    22¢—
    3Republican 5-15%
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    4Republican 25-30%
    12%
    12¢-4¢
    5Republican 40-45%
    6¢-7¢
    6Republican 0-5%
    4¢-5¢
    7Republican 35-40%
    3¢-9¢
    8Republican 30-35%
    3¢-5¢
    9Republican 45%+
    1¢-5¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $25.4K

    Whale Activity

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