US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Live odds across 5 markets: September 30 at 77¢. Resolves Sep 30, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $497.0K

    +$167.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    77¢

    September 30

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +8¢

    September 30

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    177¢77¢
    $39.0K+$2.6K 24h
    +8¢
    269¢69¢
    $22.8K+$5.0K 24h
    +5¢
    356¢56¢
    $27.3K+$8.6K 24h
    447¢47¢
    $39.8K+$12.9K 24h
    +1¢
    537¢37¢
    $368.1K+$138.3K 24h
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1September 30
    77%
    77¢+8¢
    2September 18
    69%
    69¢+5¢
    3September 11
    56%
    56¢
    4September 7
    47%
    47¢+1¢
    5September 4
    37%
    37¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 30, 2026

    ~25 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $497.0K

    Whale Activity

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