TRADING OPEN

    US trade deficit for 2026?

    Resolves Feb 28, 2027
    Total Volume

    $15.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    12

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    93¢

    Above 170‎ billion

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    12 markets
    #
    193¢93¢
    $5.1K
    -2¢—
    24¢4¢
    $907
    -4¢—
    33¢3¢
    $1.0K
    -3¢—
    43¢3¢
    $718
    -3¢—
    53¢3¢
    $800
    -3¢—
    63¢3¢
    $794
    -3¢—
    73¢3¢
    $988
    -2¢—
    83¢3¢
    $900
    -2¢—
    93¢3¢
    $768
    -2¢—
    102¢2¢
    $1.3K
    -2¢—
    112¢2¢
    $824
    -1¢—
    121¢1¢
    $1.2K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 170‎ billion
    93%
    93¢-2¢
    2119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion
    4¢-4¢
    365‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion
    3¢-3¢
    4140‎ billion to 170‎ billion
    3¢-3¢
    5120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion
    3¢-3¢
    695‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion
    3¢-3¢
    775‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion
    3¢-2¢
    845‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion
    3¢-2¢
    9105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion
    3¢-2¢
    1085‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion
    2¢-2¢
    11Below 45‎ billion
    2¢-1¢
    1255‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Feb 28, 2027

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    12
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.4K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...