Trump

    US tariff revenue for 2026

    Above $150‎ billion and Above $100‎ billion are level · 7 candidates at 5%+

    1. Above $150‎ billion#196%
    2. Above $100‎ billion#296%
    3. Above $80‎ billion#395%
    #4 Above $125‎ billion95%#5 Above $200‎ billion94%+3 more
    Resolves
    May 31, 2027
    Volume
    $13.6K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    8
    kalshi1 venue · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Above $150‎ billion96%
    • Above $100‎ billion96%
    • Above $80‎ billion95%
    • Above $125‎ billion95%
    • Above $200‎ billion94%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Above $300‎ billion24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Above $250‎ billion24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Above $80‎ billion24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Above $150‎ billion$3.1K vol96%▼ 2kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Above $100‎ billion$171 vol96%▼ 2kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Above $80‎ billion$76 vol95%▼ 3kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Above $125‎ billion$402 vol95%▼ 3kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Above $200‎ billion$5.2K vol94%▼ 2kalshi96¢97¢ after fees
    Above $250‎ billion$4.3K vol90%▼ 4kalshi94¢95¢ after fees
    Above $300‎ billion$234 vol56%▼ 5kalshi61¢63¢ after fees
    Above $350‎ billion$37 vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, May 31, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Trump

    All Trump