TRADING OPEN

    US real GDP growth in 2030?

    Resolves Feb 28, 2031
    Total Volume

    $37.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    16¢

    2.6% to 3.0%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    3.1% to 3.5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets
    #
    1
    2.6% to 3.0%
    		16¢16¢
    $19.3K
    		-2¢—
    2
    2.1% to 2.5%
    		12¢12¢
    $371
    		-2¢—
    3
    1.6% to 2.0%
    		11¢11¢
    $143
    		-3¢—
    4
    0.0% or Below
    		10¢10¢
    $12.1K
    		-2¢—
    5
    0.6% to 1.0%
    		9¢9¢
    $1.4K
    		——
    6
    1.1% to 1.5%
    		9¢9¢
    $907
    		-4¢—
    7
    3.1% to 3.5%
    		8¢8¢
    $56
    		-4¢—
    8
    3.6% to 4.0%
    		8¢8¢
    $56
    		-2¢—
    9
    4.1% to 4.5%
    		7¢7¢
    $56
    		-2¢—
    10
    0.1% to 0.5%
    		6¢6¢
    $311
    		-3¢—
    11
    6.1% or Above
    		3¢3¢
    $2.4K
    		-1¢—
    12
    4.6% to 5.0%
    		1¢1¢
    $71
    		——
    13
    5.6% to 6.0%
    		1¢1¢
    $114
    		——
    14
    5.1% to 5.5%
    		1¢1¢
    $141
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    12.6% to 3.0%
    16%
    16¢-2¢
    22.1% to 2.5%
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    31.6% to 2.0%
    11¢-3¢
    40.0% or Below
    10¢-2¢
    50.6% to 1.0%
    9¢—
    61.1% to 1.5%
    9¢-4¢
    73.1% to 3.5%
    8¢-4¢
    83.6% to 4.0%
    8¢-2¢
    94.1% to 4.5%
    7¢-2¢
    100.1% to 0.5%
    6¢-3¢
    116.1% or Above
    3¢-1¢
    124.6% to 5.0%
    1¢—
    135.6% to 6.0%
    1¢—
    145.1% to 5.5%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Feb 28, 2031

    ~1591 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $37.4K

    Whale Activity

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