US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

    US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 Live odds across 11 markets: Above 5% at 98¢. Resolves Oct 29, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 29, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

    Resolves Oct 29, 2026
    Total Volume

    $4.4K

    +$15 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    98¢

    Above 5%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Above 9%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets · Showing 11
    #
    1
    Above 5%
    		98¢98¢
    $2
    		-2¢—
    2
    Above 3%
    		98¢98¢
    $0
    		-2¢—
    3
    Above 4%
    		98¢98¢
    $0
    		-2¢—
    4
    Above 6%
    		98¢98¢
    $8
    		-2¢—
    5
    Above 7%
    		97¢97¢
    $1.5K
    		-2¢—
    6
    Above 8%
    		97¢97¢
    $1.6K
    		-4¢—
    7
    Above 9%
    		32¢32¢
    $1.1K+$15 24h
    		-6¢—
    8
    Above 10%
    		11¢11¢
    $32
    		-4¢—
    9
    Above 11%
    		9¢9¢
    $93
    		-4¢—
    10
    Above 12%
    		6¢6¢
    $59
    		-4¢—
    11
    Above 13%
    		5¢5¢
    $2
    		-4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 5%
    98%
    98¢-2¢
    2Above 3%
    98%
    98¢-2¢
    3Above 4%
    98%
    98¢-2¢
    4Above 6%
    98%
    98¢-2¢
    5Above 7%
    97%
    97¢-2¢
    6Above 8%
    97%
    97¢-4¢
    7Above 9%
    32%
    32¢-6¢
    8Above 10%
    11¢-4¢
    9Above 11%
    9¢-4¢
    10Above 12%
    6¢-4¢
    11Above 13%
    5¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 29, 2026

    ~45 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $4.4K

    Whale Activity

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