UK social media ban in effect by…?
Before Aug 1, 2027 leads by 11 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+
Before Aug 1, 2027#1Before Aug 1, 202776%▼ 4- June 30, 2027#2June 30, 202765%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 2027#3Before Apr 1, 202757%▼ 3
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2027
- Volume
- $9.8K
- 24h
- $10
- Liquidity
- $9.6K
- Candidates
- 4
2 venues · 4 marketsWho’s winning
Top 4, each at its busiest venue- Before Aug 1, 202776%
- June 30, 202765%
- Before Apr 1, 202757%
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
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Signals
3 signals- Before Aug 1, 202724h▼ 4¢ in 24h
- Before Apr 1, 202724h▼ 3¢ in 24h
- Before Jan 1, 202724h9¢ apart across venues
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Before Jan 1, 20279¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
On June 15, 2026, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the UK government’s intention to ban children under the age of 16 from accessing social media services. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ban on the use of social media by children under the age of 16 within the United Kingdom takes effect by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ban will qualify when legislation or…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
On June 15, 2026, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the UK government’s intention to ban children under the age of 16 from accessing social media services. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ban on the use of social media by children under the age of 16 within the United Kingdom takes effect by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ban will qualify when legislation or a mandate from Ofcom or another UK government regulator is effectively imposed on any group of social media platforms, requiring them to prevent children under the age of 16 from accessing their services, with regulatory penalties to be applied for noncompliance. A qualifying ban must be in effect against a group of social media platforms, defined as consumer-facing online services whose primary function is to view, share, create, and interact with user-generated content. An age restriction applying to online streaming (Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, etc.) or pornographic (PornHub, OnlyFans, etc.) services will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, user-generated video and live-streaming websites like YouTube, Twitch, Kick, and Rumble will qualify as social media platforms. To qualify, a ban must be effectively imposed on social media platforms by the listed date. The enactment of legislation or announcement of future policy without policy effectiveness will not qualify. While a qualifying ban may include exemptions for certain platforms and categories of social media, like direct messaging, a targeted age restriction policy applying to only one company or platform will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom, including Ofcom (https://www.ofcom.org.uk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Wed, June 30, 2027
Compared across 2 venues