TRADING OPEN

    TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.3K

    +$348 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    38¢

    Democrat 50-55%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +14¢

    Democrat 50-55%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 50-55%
    		38¢38¢
    $3.7K+$105 24h
    		+14¢—
    2
    Democrat 45-50% Hot
    		20¢20¢
    $2.4K+$45 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    Democrat 60-65%
    		19¢19¢
    $5.6K+$145 24h
    		-4¢—
    4
    Democrat 55-60%
    		16¢16¢
    $2.9K+$23 24h
    		-3¢—
    5
    Democrat 70%+
    		11¢11¢
    $1.1K+$5 24h
    		——
    6
    Democrat 40-45%
    		4¢4¢
    $340+$5 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    Democrat 30-40%
    		2¢2¢
    $183+$5 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Democrat 0-30%
    		2¢2¢
    $1.1K+$5 24h
    		-6¢—
    9
    Democrat 65-70%
    		1¢1¢
    $1.2K+$5 24h
    		-7¢—
    10
    Republican Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $765+$5 24h
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 50-55%
    38%
    38¢+14¢
    2Democrat 45-50%
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    3Democrat 60-65%
    19%
    19¢-4¢
    4Democrat 55-60%
    16%
    16¢-3¢
    5Democrat 70%+
    11¢—
    6Democrat 40-45%
    4¢-3¢
    7Democrat 30-40%
    2¢-4¢
    8Democrat 0-30%
    2¢-6¢
    9Democrat 65-70%
    1¢-7¢
    10Republican Wins
    1¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.3K

    Whale Activity

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