TRADING OPEN

    TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.9K

    +$971 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -12¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 35-40%
    		27¢27¢
    $2.0K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Republican 30-35% Hot
    		17¢17¢
    $2.4K+$930 24h
    		-10¢—
    3
    Republican 40-45%📈 Trending
    		12¢12¢
    $4.6K
    		-12¢—
    4
    Republican 45-50% Hot
    		10¢10¢
    $2.0K+$20 24h
    		-8¢—
    5
    Republican 50-55%
    		6¢6¢
    $564
    		-5¢—
    6
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $1.1K+$21 24h
    		-12¢—
    7
    Republican 15-25%
    		4¢4¢
    $754
    		-3¢—
    8
    Republican 55%+
    		3¢3¢
    $459
    		-2¢—
    9
    Republican 0-15%
    		1¢1¢
    $1.7K
    		-1¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $319
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    27%
    27¢-1¢
    2Republican 30-35%
    17%
    17¢-10¢
    3Republican 40-45%
    12%
    12¢-12¢
    4Republican 45-50%
    10¢-8¢
    5Republican 50-55%
    6¢-5¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    6¢-12¢
    7Republican 15-25%
    4¢-3¢
    8Republican 55%+
    3¢-2¢
    9Republican 0-15%
    1¢-1¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.9K

    Whale Activity

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