TRADING OPEN

    TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.5K

    +$403 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Republican 50-55%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 35-40%
    		30¢30¢
    $2.2K+$20 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 40-45%📈 Trending
    		22¢22¢
    $3.1K+$133 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    Republican 30-35%📈 Trending
    		20¢20¢
    $1.3K+$73 24h
    		+1¢—
    4
    Republican 45-50%📈 Trending
    		18¢18¢
    $835+$30 24h
    		+4¢—
    5
    Republican 0-20%
    		11¢11¢
    $515+$38 24h
    		-6¢—
    6
    Republican 60%+
    		5¢5¢
    $1.3K+$20 24h
    		-4¢—
    7
    Republican 20-30%
    		5¢5¢
    $560+$20 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    Republican 55-60%
    		3¢3¢
    $926+$20 24h
    		-5¢—
    9
    Republican 50-55%
    		2¢2¢
    $1.2K+$30 24h
    		-8¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $461+$20 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    30%
    30¢—
    2Republican 40-45%
    22%
    22¢+1¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    4Republican 45-50%
    18%
    18¢+4¢
    5Republican 0-20%
    11¢-6¢
    6Republican 60%+
    5¢-4¢
    7Republican 20-30%
    5¢-2¢
    8Republican 55-60%
    3¢-5¢
    9Republican 50-55%
    2¢-8¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.5K

    Whale Activity

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