TRADING OPEN

    Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $144.5K

    +$2.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    2

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    66¢

    December 31, 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    December 31, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    2 markets
    #
    166¢63¢67¢
    $96.8K+$2.0K 24h
    -1¢—
    23¢3¢—
    $47.7K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31, 2027
    66%
    66¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~437 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    2
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $144.5K

    Whale Activity

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