Trump on $250 bill this year?

    1% chance

    Yes1%kalshiYes2¢3¢ after fees
    No99%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢99¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $1.3M
    24h
    $3.3K
    Liquidity
    $14.1K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    No99%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees

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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring Donald J. Trump's likeness becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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