TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)

    Resolves Sep 29, 2026
    Total Volume

    $39.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    81¢

    Above 150

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -14¢

    Above 200

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    1
    Above 150
    		81¢81¢
    $2.9K
    		——
    2
    Above 175
    		42¢42¢
    $5.8K
    		-14¢—
    3
    Above 200
    		6¢6¢
    $5.1K
    		-14¢—
    4
    Above 225
    		3¢3¢
    $7.2K
    		-7¢—
    5
    Above 250
    		2¢2¢
    $18.0K
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 150
    81%
    81¢—
    2Above 175
    42%
    42¢-14¢
    3Above 200
    6¢-14¢
    4Above 225
    3¢-7¢
    5Above 250
    2¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 29, 2026

    ~6 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $39.1K

    Whale Activity

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