TIME Person of the Year 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027

    TIME Person of the Year 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $392.0K

    +$2.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    23

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Alysa Liu

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -30¢

    Alysa Liu

    Arb Opportunities

    1

    Best gross: 3¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    23 markets · Showing 8
    #
    135¢65¢
    $717+$17 24h
    -30¢
    227¢48¢
    $51
    -21¢
    326¢22¢26¢
    $56.5K+$277 24h
    +1¢
    3¢
    423¢65¢11¢
    $15.4K
    -15¢
    521¢65¢
    $211
    -16¢
    619¢65¢
    $150
    -17¢
    719¢65¢
    $445
    -15¢
    2¢
    819¢50¢11¢
    $5.0K
    -12¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Alysa Liu
    35%
    35¢-30¢
    2Donald Trump
    26%
    26¢+1¢
    3Sam Altman
    23%
    23¢-15¢
    4Christina Koch
    21%
    21¢-16¢
    5Jeremy Hansen
    19%
    19¢-17¢
    6Marco Rubio
    19%
    19¢-15¢
    7Dario Amodei
    19%
    19¢-12¢
    8Zohran Mamdani
    19%
    19¢
    9Pope Leo XIV
    19%
    19¢
    10Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
    18%
    18¢-16¢
    11Reid Wiseman
    18%
    18¢-11¢
    12Victor Glover
    18%
    18¢-11¢
    13Shehbaz Sharif
    17%
    17¢-12¢
    14Elon Musk
    16%
    16¢
    15Péter Magyar
    -3¢
    16Jerome Powell
    -2¢
    17James Talarico
    -2¢
    18Bad Bunny
    19Taylor Swift
    -3¢
    20ChatGPT
    -2¢
    21Benjamin Netanyahu
    -2¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 30, 2027

    ~380 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    23
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $392.0K
    Arb Opportunities
    1

    Whale Activity

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