TIME Person of the Year 2026

    TIME Person of the Year 2026 Live odds across 26 markets: Zohran Mamdani at 34¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    TIME Person of the Year 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $1.1M

    +$11.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    26

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Zohran Mamdani

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Elon Musk

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 3¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    26 markets · Showing 26
    #
    135¢36¢33¢
    $476.4K+$6.1K 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    220¢23¢19¢
    $103.6K+$509 24h
    +2¢
    3¢
    314¢14¢14¢
    $130.6K+$990 24h
    -1¢
    412¢
    $27.0K+$428 24h
    -6¢
    3¢
    5
    $23.2K+$71 24h
    -1¢
    6
    $3.9K+$3 24h
    7
    $4.7K
    -1¢
    8
    $13.0K
    -3¢
    9
    $70.7K
    -2¢
    10
    $162
    -5¢
    11
    $3.2K
    12
    $7.0K+$79 24h
    13
    $17.5K
    -3¢
    14
    $4.3K+$12 24h
    15
    $131.9K+$365 24h
    16
    $9.0K
    -3¢
    17
    $2.9K
    -3¢
    18
    $3.7K
    -3¢
    19
    $2.4K
    -2¢
    20
    $2.9K
    -1¢
    21
    $1.7K+$1 24h
    22
    $13.9K
    -4¢
    23
    $12.3K+$2.8K 24h
    -1¢
    24
    $28.6K
    -2¢
    25
    $5.9K
    -2¢
    26
    $4.1K+$10 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Zohran Mamdani
    35%
    35¢-1¢
    2Pope Leo XIV
    20%
    20¢+2¢
    3Donald Trump
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    4Elon Musk
    -6¢
    5Sam Altman
    -1¢
    6Christina Koch
    7Benjamin Netanyahu
    -1¢
    8Dario Amodei
    -3¢
    9Bad Bunny
    -2¢
    10Jerome Powell
    -3¢
    11James Talarico
    12Reid Wiseman
    -3¢
    13Victor Glover
    -3¢
    14Jeremy Hansen
    -3¢
    15Péter Magyar
    -2¢
    16Marco Rubio
    -1¢
    17Shehbaz Sharif
    18ChatGPT
    -4¢
    19Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
    -1¢
    20Taylor Swift
    -2¢
    21Alysa Liu

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~129 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    26
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $1.1M
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

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