Science & Tech

    Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

    Z.ai leads by 4 pts · 5 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Z.ai#128%
    2. Moonshot#224%
    3. Alibaba#313%
    #4 Tencent6%#5 Xiaomi6%+5 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $10.7K
    24h
    $84
    Outcomes
    10
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Z.ai28%
    • Moonshot24%
    • Alibaba13%
    • Tencent6%
    • Xiaomi6%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Alibaba24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. DeepSeek24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. MiniMax24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Z.ai$3.3K vol28%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US29¢30¢ after fees
    Moonshot$1.5K vol24%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US25¢26¢ after fees
    Alibaba$1.8K vol13%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees
    Tencent$380 vol6%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Xiaomi$1.6K vol6%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    DeepSeek$437 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    MiniMax$354 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    ByteDance$264 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    StepFun$247 vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Meituan$475 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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