Third-best AI Lab end of January?

    Meta leads by 32 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Meta#151%
    2. Anthropic#219%
    3. Google#311%
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $23.5K
    24h
    $1.3K
    Outcomes
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Meta51%
    • Anthropic19%
    • Google11%
    • OpenAI7%
    • Alibaba4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. OpenAI24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Alibaba24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Baidu24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Meta$7.9K vol51%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US52¢53¢ after fees
    Anthropic$2.4K vol19%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US21¢22¢ after fees
    Google$3.9K vol11%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢11¢ after fees
    OpenAI$964 vol7%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢13¢ after fees
    Alibaba$785 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢8¢ after fees
    Baidu$398 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    Microsoft$461 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    SpaceXAI$707 vol4%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    Tencent$416 vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢6¢ after fees
    DeepSeek$410 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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