TRADING OPEN

    Third-best AI Lab end of December?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $22.7K

    +$406 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    37¢

    Meta

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -20¢

    SpaceXAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    137¢37¢
    $5.9K
    ——
    219¢19¢
    $1.8K
    ——
    314¢14¢
    $5.0K+$336 24h
    -1¢—
    49¢9¢
    $540
    +3¢—
    58¢8¢
    $3.5K
    -6¢—
    65¢5¢
    $354
    -5¢—
    74¢4¢
    $407
    -20¢—
    84¢4¢
    $387
    -3¢—
    93¢3¢
    $236
    -3¢—
    103¢3¢
    $408
    -3¢—
    113¢3¢
    $478+$70 24h
    +1¢—
    123¢3¢
    $402
    -2¢—
    132¢2¢
    $378
    -2¢—
    142¢2¢
    $432
    -2¢—
    151¢1¢
    $339
    ——
    161¢1¢
    $328
    ——
    171¢1¢
    $358
    ——
    181¢1¢
    $359
    ——
    190¢0¢
    $359
    ——
    200¢0¢
    $323
    ——
    210¢0¢
    $342
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Meta
    37%
    37¢—
    2Google
    19%
    19¢—
    3Anthropic
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    4Alibaba
    9¢+3¢
    5Moonshot
    8¢-6¢
    6Tencent
    5¢-5¢
    7SpaceXAI
    4¢-20¢
    8DeepSeek
    4¢-3¢
    9Mistral
    3¢-3¢
    10Thinky
    3¢-3¢
    11Z.ai
    3¢+1¢
    12OpenAI
    3¢-2¢
    13ByteDance
    2¢-2¢
    14Xiaomi
    2¢-2¢
    15Meituan
    1¢—
    16Baidu
    1¢—
    17Microsoft
    1¢—
    18Nvidia
    1¢—
    19Amazon
    0¢—
    20StepFun
    0¢—
    21MiniMax
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $22.7K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...