TRADING OPEN

    Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $76.2K

    +$5.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Talarico 0-3%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Paxton 3-6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Talarico 0-3%
    		35¢35¢
    $13.3K+$798 24h
    		+1¢—
    2
    Paxton 0-3%📈 Trending
    		30¢30¢
    $7.2K+$282 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Talarico 3-6%📈 Trending
    		19¢19¢
    $9.1K+$1.0K 24h
    		+1¢—
    4
    Talarico 6-9%📈 Trending
    		8¢8¢
    $6.0K+$646 24h
    		+1¢—
    5
    Paxton 3-6%
    		8¢8¢
    $17.9K+$666 24h
    		-5¢—
    6
    Talarico 9-12%📈 Trending
    		2¢2¢
    $3.7K+$375 24h
    		——
    7
    Talarico 12%+📈 Trending
    		1¢1¢
    $4.0K+$418 24h
    		+1¢—
    8
    Paxton 9-12%📈 Trending
    		1¢1¢
    $4.0K+$415 24h
    		-4¢—
    9
    Paxton 12%+📈 Trending
    		1¢1¢
    $4.8K+$525 24h
    		——
    10
    Paxton 6-9%📈 Trending
    		0¢0¢
    $6.3K+$438 24h
    		-4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Talarico 0-3%
    35%
    35¢+1¢
    2Paxton 0-3%
    30%
    30¢-1¢
    3Talarico 3-6%
    19%
    19¢+1¢
    4Talarico 6-9%
    8¢+1¢
    5Paxton 3-6%
    8¢-5¢
    6Talarico 9-12%
    2¢—
    7Talarico 12%+
    1¢+1¢
    8Paxton 9-12%
    1¢-4¢
    9Paxton 12%+
    1¢—
    10Paxton 6-9%
    0¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $76.2K

    Whale Activity

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