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    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    Resolves Jun 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.7M

    +$774.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #
    1
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
    		22¢22¢
    $12.7M+$774.9K 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
    22%
    22¢-1¢

    Price History

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2911.5%26.5%52.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Economics

    Kalshi bettors see Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July

    1 minDavis Giangiulio
    Economics

    Shipowners See More Hormuz Transits as U.S. Gives Advice - TT

    1 minAlex Longley and Jack Wittels
    Economics

    The Strait of Hormuz is splitting into U.S. and Iranian lanes even while fighting intensifies | Fortune

    1 minJason Ma
    Economics

    Iran asserts permanent control over Strait of Hormuz, impacting maritime traffic

    1 minEstefano Gomez
    Economics

    Anthropic leads Polymarket odds near 83% as OpenAI gains from Japanese banks rollout; close to end-June settl...

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Even after a Strait of Hormuz deal, moving 1,500 ships won’t be easy.

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Strait of Hormuz ship transits are rising thanks to help from US - The Economic Times

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 30, 2026

    ~28 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.7M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $103K No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    polymarket · 19 days ago

    Mega

    bought $62K Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    polymarket · 9 days ago

    Mega

    sold $59K No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    polymarket · 16 days ago

    Mega

    bought $51K No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

    polymarket · 13 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 23.3% in 24h

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 33.3% in 24h

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 10:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 36.7% in 24h

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 9:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 36.7% in 24h

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 8:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 36.7% in 24h

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Polymarket