TRADING OPEN

    SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $39.0K

    +$3.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    73¢

    November 30, 2026

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -14¢

    Successful splash down?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets
    #
    173¢73¢
    $6.6K+$405 24h
    +4¢—
    265¢65¢
    $4.8K+$389 24h
    +4¢—
    360¢60¢
    $6.5K+$478 24h
    +1¢—
    436¢36¢
    $2.4K+$325 24h
    -6¢—
    531¢31¢
    $840
    -14¢—
    622¢22¢
    $4.4K+$25 24h
    -9¢—
    71¢1¢
    $13.4K+$2.0K 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1November 30, 2026
    73%
    73¢+4¢
    2Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
    65%
    65¢+4¢
    3Chopsticks catch Starship?
    60%
    60¢+1¢
    4Super Heavy booster explodes?
    36%
    36¢-6¢
    5Successful splash down?
    31%
    31¢-14¢
    6November 15, 2026
    22%
    22¢-9¢
    7October 31, 2026
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 30, 2027

    ~253 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $39.0K

    Whale Activity

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