South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

    J.D. Vance leads by 19 pts · 6 candidates at 5%+

    1. J.D. Vance#133%
    2. Marco Rubio#214%
    3. Ron DeSantis#311%
    Resolves
    Nov 21, 2028
    Volume
    $2.4K
    24h
    $134
    Liquidity
    $44.3K
    Candidates
    20
    Polymarket USkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 20 markets

    Who’s winning

    • J.D. Vance33%
    • Marco Rubio14%
    • Ron DeSantis11%
    • Elon Musk8%
    • Marjorie Taylor Greene7%
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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. J.D. Vance24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket USkalshi
    2. Elon Musk24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. J.D. Vance24h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi
    4. Elon Musk24h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    J.D. Vance$1 vol · 6¢ apart33%▼ 3Polymarket US31¢fee unknown
    Marco Rubio$240 vol14%—Polymarket US14¢fee unknown
    Ron DeSantis$85 vol11%▼ 1Polymarket US11¢fee unknown
    Elon Musk$716 vol · 6¢ apart8%▼ 3Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    Marjorie Taylor Greene$641 vol7%—Polymarket US7¢fee unknown
    Tucker Carlson$0 vol5%—Polymarket US6¢fee unknown
    Thomas Massie$50 vol4%—Polymarket US5¢fee unknown
    Josh Hawley$50 vol4%▲ 1Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    Brian Kemp$50 vol3%—Polymarket US3¢fee unknown
    Donald Trump Jr.$50 vol3%—Polymarket US3¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 South Carolina Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    South Carolina is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection proces…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    South Carolina is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Republican convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 21, 2028
    Polymarket USkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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