TRADING OPEN

    Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $17.0K

    +$142 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Google

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    SpaceXAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    130¢30¢
    $4.7K+$20 24h
    ——
    223¢23¢
    $7.1K+$15 24h
    -2¢—
    313¢13¢
    $681+$107 24h
    -6¢—
    47¢7¢
    $208
    -7¢—
    57¢7¢
    $400
    -4¢—
    66¢6¢
    $275
    -9¢—
    76¢6¢
    $263
    -5¢—
    86¢6¢
    $225
    -5¢—
    96¢6¢
    $205
    -6¢—
    105¢5¢
    $205
    -7¢—
    115¢5¢
    $562
    -4¢—
    124¢4¢
    $205
    -3¢—
    134¢4¢
    $223
    -3¢—
    144¢4¢
    $215
    -3¢—
    154¢4¢
    $205
    -3¢—
    163¢3¢
    $245
    -3¢—
    171¢1¢
    $215
    ——
    181¢1¢
    $180
    ——
    191¢1¢
    $232
    ——
    201¢1¢
    $222
    ——
    211¢1¢
    $205
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Google
    30%
    30¢—
    2Anthropic
    23%
    23¢-2¢
    3Meta
    13%
    13¢-6¢
    4Microsoft
    7¢-7¢
    5MiniMax
    7¢-4¢
    6SpaceXAI
    6¢-9¢
    7ByteDance
    6¢-5¢
    8Tencent
    6¢-5¢
    9DeepSeek
    6¢-6¢
    10Thinky
    5¢-7¢
    11StepFun
    5¢-4¢
    12Z.ai
    4¢-3¢
    13Alibaba
    4¢-3¢
    14OpenAI
    4¢-3¢
    15Xiaomi
    4¢-3¢
    16Amazon
    3¢-3¢
    17Moonshot
    1¢—
    18Nvidia
    1¢—
    19Baidu
    1¢—
    20Mistral
    1¢—
    21Meituan
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $17.0K

    Whale Activity

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