TRADING OPEN

    Second-best AI Lab end of November?

    Resolves Nov 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $26.4K

    +$333 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    40¢

    Anthropic

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    OpenAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    140¢40¢
    $4.6K+$200 24h
    -4¢—
    238¢38¢
    $9.1K+$133 24h
    -3¢—
    312¢12¢
    $2.6K
    -1¢—
    47¢7¢
    $793
    -8¢—
    52¢2¢
    $581
    ——
    61¢1¢
    $767
    -1¢—
    71¢1¢
    $688
    -1¢—
    81¢1¢
    $724
    ——
    91¢1¢
    $629
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $566
    ——
    110¢0¢
    $485
    ——
    120¢0¢
    $492
    ——
    130¢0¢
    $476
    ——
    140¢0¢
    $385
    ——
    150¢0¢
    $476
    ——
    160¢0¢
    $476
    ——
    170¢0¢
    $433
    ——
    180¢0¢
    $600
    ——
    190¢0¢
    $510
    ——
    200¢0¢
    $465
    ——
    210¢0¢
    $482
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Anthropic
    40%
    40¢-4¢
    2Google
    38%
    38¢-3¢
    3Meta
    12%
    12¢-1¢
    4OpenAI
    7¢-8¢
    5Alibaba
    2¢—
    6Xiaomi
    1¢-1¢
    7SpaceXAI
    1¢-1¢
    8Moonshot
    1¢—
    9Z.ai
    1¢—
    10Baidu
    0¢—
    11Tencent
    0¢—
    12ByteDance
    0¢—
    13MiniMax
    0¢—
    14Mistral
    0¢—
    15Meituan
    0¢—
    16Thinky
    0¢—
    17Nvidia
    0¢—
    18DeepSeek
    0¢—
    19StepFun
    0¢—
    20Microsoft
    0¢—
    21Amazon
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 30, 2026

    ~41 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $26.4K

    Whale Activity

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