Science & Tech

    Second-best AI Lab end of January?

    Anthropic leads by 6 pts · 6 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Anthropic#138%
    2. Google#232%
    3. Meta#314%
    #4 OpenAI8%#5 Mistral7%+16 more
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $17.5K
    24h
    $52
    Outcomes
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Anthropic38%
    • Google32%
    • Meta14%
    • OpenAI8%
    • Mistral7%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. OpenAI24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Google24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. MiniMax24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Anthropic$3.7K vol38%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US39¢40¢ after fees
    Google$4.0K vol32%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US32¢33¢ after fees
    Meta$1.1K vol14%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢18¢ after fees
    OpenAI$374 vol8%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢15¢ after fees
    Mistral$606 vol7%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢13¢ after fees
    Alibaba$405 vol6%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    MiniMax$486 vol3%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    Z.ai$951 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees
    SpaceXAI$797 vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    DeepSeek$865 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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