TRADING OPEN

    Second-best AI Lab end of December?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.2K

    +$102 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Google

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -16¢

    OpenAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    135¢35¢
    $2.6K+$9 24h
    -1¢—
    235¢35¢
    $6.8K+$93 24h
    -1¢—
    317¢17¢
    $1.5K
    ——
    48¢8¢
    $352
    -7¢—
    57¢7¢
    $275
    -8¢—
    67¢7¢
    $217
    -3¢—
    76¢6¢
    $225
    -5¢—
    84¢4¢
    $217
    -16¢—
    94¢4¢
    $237
    -4¢—
    104¢4¢
    $257
    -3¢—
    114¢4¢
    $285
    -3¢—
    124¢4¢
    $271
    -3¢—
    133¢3¢
    $267
    -2¢—
    141¢1¢
    $290
    -3¢—
    151¢1¢
    $260
    ——
    161¢1¢
    $163
    ——
    171¢1¢
    $217
    ——
    181¢1¢
    $173
    ——
    191¢1¢
    $165
    ——
    201¢1¢
    $217
    ——
    211¢1¢
    $217
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Google
    35%
    35¢-1¢
    2Anthropic
    35%
    35¢-1¢
    3Meta
    17%
    17¢—
    4SpaceXAI
    8¢-7¢
    5Baidu
    7¢-8¢
    6MiniMax
    7¢-3¢
    7Moonshot
    6¢-5¢
    8OpenAI
    4¢-16¢
    9Meituan
    4¢-4¢
    10Thinky
    4¢-3¢
    11ByteDance
    4¢-3¢
    12Z.ai
    4¢-3¢
    13Alibaba
    3¢-2¢
    14Xiaomi
    1¢-3¢
    15Mistral
    1¢—
    16Microsoft
    1¢—
    17StepFun
    1¢—
    18Amazon
    1¢—
    19Nvidia
    1¢—
    20DeepSeek
    1¢—
    21Tencent
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.2K

    Whale Activity

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