Video Games

    Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by...?

    December 31, 2027 leads by 1 pt · 13 outcomes at 5%+

    1. December 31, 2027#178%
    2. Before 2028#277%
    3. Before December 2027#369%
    #4 Before November 202763%#5 Before October 202757%+9 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $31.4K
    24h
    $1.2K
    Liquidity
    $10.2K
    Outcomes
    14
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 14 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 31, 202778%
    • Before 202877%
    • Before December 202769%
    • Before November 202763%
    • Before October 202757%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Before April 202724h
      ▲ 10¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Before July 202724h
      11¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    December 31, 2027$6.2K vol78%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US80¢81¢ after fees
    Before 2028$6.4K vol77%▼ 2kalshi78¢80¢ after fees
    Before December 2027$0 vol69%—kalshi73¢75¢ after fees
    Before November 2027$0 vol63%—kalshi67¢69¢ after fees
    Before October 2027$0 vol57%—kalshi62¢64¢ after fees
    Before July 2027$8.6K vol · 11¢ apart57%▼ 2kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Before September 2027$0 vol53%—kalshi57¢59¢ after fees
    Before August 2027$139 vol48%—kalshi52¢54¢ after fees
    Before June 2027$0 vol38%—kalshi42¢44¢ after fees
    Before April 2027$9.0K vol36%▲ 10kalshi36¢38¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before July 202711¢buy kalshi
    • Before April 20273¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Rockstar Games releases the PC version of GTA 6 to the public before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qu…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution. This market will resolve immediately if the PC version is released by the expiry date. If no PC version is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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