TRADING OPEN

    Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $147.0K

    +$544 (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Texas

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Texas

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    16 markets
    #
    1
    Texas
    		28¢28¢
    $4.0K+$85 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Kansas📈 Trending
    		25¢25¢
    $3.7K+$119 24h
    		——
    3
    North Carolina
    		14¢14¢
    $16.5K
    		-1¢—
    4
    South Carolina
    		13¢13¢
    $6.7K+$85 24h
    		——
    5
    Alaska
    		8¢8¢
    $16.3K+$85 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    Iowa
    		5¢5¢
    $2.8K+$85 24h
    		——
    7
    Mississippi
    		5¢5¢
    $13.8K
    		-1¢—
    8
    Ohio
    		3¢3¢
    $5.1K+$85 24h
    		——
    9
    Minnesota
    		1¢1¢
    $5.9K
    		——
    10
    Georgia
    		1¢1¢
    $19.8K
    		——
    11
    New Hampshire
    		1¢1¢
    $5.0K
    		——
    12
    Michigan
    		1¢1¢
    $14.5K
    		——
    13
    Virginia
    		1¢1¢
    $4.8K
    		——
    14
    Louisiana
    		1¢1¢
    $9.6K
    		——
    15
    Montana
    		1¢1¢
    $12.3K
    		——
    16
    Florida
    		1¢1¢
    $6.2K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Texas
    28%
    28¢-2¢
    2Kansas
    25%
    25¢—
    3North Carolina
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    4South Carolina
    13%
    13¢—
    5Alaska
    8¢-2¢
    6Iowa
    5¢—
    7Mississippi
    5¢-1¢
    8Ohio
    3¢—
    9Minnesota
    1¢—
    10Georgia
    1¢—
    11New Hampshire
    1¢—
    12Michigan
    1¢—
    13Virginia
    1¢—
    14Louisiana
    1¢—
    15Montana
    1¢—
    16Florida
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~13 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $147.0K

    Whale Activity

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