International

    Quito Mayoral Election Winner

    Pabel Muñoz leads by 36 pts · 5 candidates at 5%+

    1. Pabel Muñoz#152%
    2. Jorge Yunda#216%
    3. Harold Burbano#312%
    #4 Wilson Merino11%#5 Linda Romero5%+5 more
    Resolves
    Nov 29, 2026
    Volume
    $9.5K
    24h
    $36
    Liquidity
    $24.3K
    Candidates
    10
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Pabel Muñoz52%
    • Jorge Yunda16%
    • Harold Burbano12%
    • Wilson Merino11%
    • Linda Romero5%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Harold Burbano24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Linda Romero24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. César Díaz24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    4. Harold Burbano24h
      6¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Carla Larrea24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Pabel Muñoz$2.2K vol52%▼ 2kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    Jorge Yunda$839 vol16%▼ 1kalshi17¢18¢ after fees
    Harold Burbano$1.1K vol · 6¢ apart12%▼ 5kalshi14¢15¢ after fees
    Wilson Merino$1.6K vol11%▼ 1kalshi14¢15¢ after fees
    Linda Romero$1.5K vol5%▼ 4kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Carla Larrea$775 vol · 4¢ apart3%▼ 2kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    César Díaz$790 vol3%▼ 4kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Galo Almeida$310 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee
    Bernardo Jijón$246 vol · 4¢ apart2%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Paúl Desamblanc$270 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Othe…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Pabel Muñoz wins the 2026 Quito mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, November 29, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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