International

    Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?

    Before Jan 1, 2028 leads by 16 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2028#135%
    2. Before Jul 1, 2027#219%
    3. Before Jan 1, 2027#314%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
    Volume
    $23.4K
    24h
    $16
    Liquidity
    $11.9K
    Candidates
    3
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jan 1, 202835%
    • Before Jul 1, 202719%
    • Before Jan 1, 202714%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Before Jan 1, 202824h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before Jan 1, 2028$36 vol35%▼ 4kalshi38¢40¢ after fees
    Before Jul 1, 2027$412 vol19%▼ 2kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$23.0K vol14%▼ 1kalshi12¢13¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before Jan 1, 20273¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Vladimir Putin visits the United States of America after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    If Vladimir Putin visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vladimir Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Vladimir Putin enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    If Vladimir Putin visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vladimir Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Vladimir Putin enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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