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    PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.2K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 10-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 30-35%
    		31¢31¢
    $2.8K
    		——
    2
    Republican 25-30%
    		26¢26¢
    $2.6K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Republican 35-40%
    		24¢24¢
    $2.8K
    		-4¢—
    4
    Republican 40-45%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.0K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Republican 0-10%
    		8¢8¢
    $969
    		-4¢—
    6
    Republican 10-20%
    		5¢5¢
    $937
    		-9¢—
    7
    Republican 20-25%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.0K
    		-4¢—
    8
    Republican 45-50%
    		4¢4¢
    $834
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $735
    		-2¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $485
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30-35%
    31%
    31¢—
    2Republican 25-30%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    3Republican 35-40%
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    4Republican 40-45%
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    5Republican 0-10%
    8¢-4¢
    6Republican 10-20%
    5¢-9¢
    7Republican 20-25%
    5¢-4¢
    8Republican 45-50%
    4¢-3¢
    9Republican 50%+
    4¢-2¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.2K

    Whale Activity

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