TRADING OPEN

    PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.4K

    +$402 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +8¢

    Republican 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 20-25%
    		27¢27¢
    $4.4K+$247 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 25-30%
    		20¢20¢
    $5.1K
    		——
    3
    Republican 40-45%
    		17¢17¢
    $694
    		+8¢—
    4
    Republican 30-35%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.3K
    		+6¢—
    5
    Republican 15-20%
    		15¢15¢
    $2.9K+$93 24h
    		-3¢—
    6
    Republican 45%+
    		15¢15¢
    $1.1K
    		+3¢—
    7
    Republican 5-15%
    		12¢12¢
    $2.0K+$62 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    Republican 0-5%
    		3¢3¢
    $633
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 35-40%
    		2¢2¢
    $861
    		-1¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		2¢2¢
    $517
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    27%
    27¢—
    2Republican 25-30%
    20%
    20¢—
    3Republican 40-45%
    17%
    17¢+8¢
    4Republican 30-35%
    16%
    16¢+6¢
    5Republican 15-20%
    15%
    15¢-3¢
    6Republican 45%+
    15%
    15¢+3¢
    7Republican 5-15%
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    8Republican 0-5%
    3¢-3¢
    9Republican 35-40%
    2¢-1¢
    10Democrat Wins
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.4K

    Whale Activity

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