TRADING OPEN

    PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.1K

    +$122 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    133¢33¢
    $2.0K
    ——
    2
    Republican 20-25%📈 Trending
    19¢19¢
    $2.6K+$122 24h
    +1¢—
    316¢16¢
    $4.7K
    -4¢—
    47¢7¢
    $1.4K
    -4¢—
    55¢5¢
    $1.2K
    -15¢—
    65¢5¢
    $264
    -4¢—
    75¢5¢
    $1.1K
    -3¢—
    8
    Republican 40-45%📈 Trending
    3¢3¢
    $1.2K
    -2¢—
    92¢2¢
    $291
    -3¢—
    101¢1¢
    $433
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    33%
    33¢—
    2Republican 20-25%
    19%
    19¢+1¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    4Republican 0-10%
    7¢-4¢
    5Republican 35-40%
    5¢-15¢
    6Republican 50%+
    5¢-4¢
    7Republican 10-20%
    5¢-3¢
    8Republican 40-45%
    3¢-2¢
    9Republican 45-50%
    2¢-3¢
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.1K

    Whale Activity

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