TRADING OPEN

    PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.4K

    +$51 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    126¢26¢
    $2.1K
    -2¢—
    222¢22¢
    $2.3K+$51 24h
    ——
    314¢14¢
    $4.2K
    -8¢—
    412¢12¢
    $1.4K
    -2¢—
    5
    Democrat 10-15%📈 Trending
    7¢7¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢—
    65¢5¢
    $144
    -8¢—
    75¢5¢
    $161
    -2¢—
    83¢3¢
    $747
    -2¢—
    91¢1¢
    $194
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    26%
    26¢-2¢
    2Democrat 20-25%
    22%
    22¢—
    3Democrat 25-30%
    14%
    14¢-8¢
    4Democrat 35-40%
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    5Democrat 10-15%
    7¢-2¢
    6Democrat 0-10%
    5¢-8¢
    7Democrat 15-20%
    5¢-2¢
    8Democrat 40%+
    3¢-2¢
    9Republican Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.4K

    Whale Activity

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