TRADING OPEN

    PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.4K

    +$120 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    125¢25¢
    $1.5K
    -2¢—
    221¢21¢
    $2.0K
    -1¢—
    319¢19¢
    $3.7K+$120 24h
    -11¢—
    415¢15¢
    $1.4K
    -2¢—
    55¢5¢
    $1.3K
    -3¢—
    64¢4¢
    $310
    -3¢—
    74¢4¢
    $908
    -4¢—
    83¢3¢
    $2.4K
    -3¢—
    92¢2¢
    $386
    -1¢—
    101¢1¢
    $1.5K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 45-50%
    25%
    25¢-2¢
    2Democrat 50-55%
    21%
    21¢-1¢
    3Democrat 55-60%
    19%
    19¢-11¢
    4Democrat 40-45%
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    5Democrat 60%+
    5¢-3¢
    6Republican Wins
    4¢-3¢
    7Democrat 0-20%
    4¢-4¢
    8Democrat 35-40%
    3¢-3¢
    9Democrat 20-30%
    2¢-1¢
    10Democrat 30-35%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.4K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...