Movies

    Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner

    Agapito leads by 13 pts · 8 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Agapito#129%
    2. Spilled Milk#216%
    3. Mary is Missing#310%
    #4 The Birthday Gift8%#5 Pale Sun7%+5 more
    Resolves
    Mar 28, 2027
    Volume
    $21.2K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $9.1K
    Outcomes
    10
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US2 venues · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Agapito29%
    • Spilled Milk16%
    • Mary is Missing10%
    • The Birthday Gift8%
    • Pale Sun7%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Mary is Missing24h
      ▼ 13¢ in 24hPolymarket US
    2. Spilled Milk24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    3. The Birthday Gift24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    4. Agapito24h
      23¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    5. The Birthday Gift24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Agapito$4.8K vol · 23¢ apart29%▲ 5Polymarket US44¢fee unknown
    Spilled Milk$5.5K vol · 8¢ apart16%▼ 8Polymarket US27¢fee unknown
    Mary is Missing$351 vol10%▼ 13Polymarket US19¢fee unknown
    The Birthday Gift$1.0K vol · 14¢ apart8%▼ 7Polymarket US21¢fee unknown
    Pale Sun$380 vol7%▲ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢14¢ after fees
    Meeting Your Maker$333 vol7%▼ 5Polymarket US12¢fee unknown
    Magan's Fare$585 vol6%▼ 5Polymarket US11¢fee unknown
    32B$330 vol5%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    The Man That I Wave At$2.3K vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Nightfaces$5.7K vol1%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Oscar Winner: Best Live Action Short Film

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, March 28, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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