TRADING OPEN

    Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $74.8K

    +$1.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    50¢

    The Black Ball

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    The Odyssey

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    16 markets
    #
    150¢48¢52¢
    $29.7K+$331 24h
    —
    3¢ if
    224¢23¢24¢
    $9.9K+$40 24h
    -4¢—
    322¢25¢21¢
    $11.5K+$22 24h
    —
    3¢ if
    43¢5¢2¢
    $2.7K
    -1¢—
    53¢3¢—
    $2.0K+$1.0K 24h
    -1¢—
    62¢4¢0¢
    $2.4K
    -2¢
    1¢
    72¢4¢0¢
    $2.7K
    -1¢
    2¢
    82¢2¢2¢
    $1.6K
    -2¢—
    91¢2¢1¢
    $1.9K
    -1¢—
    101¢2¢1¢
    $1.5K
    -1¢—
    111¢2¢1¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    121¢2¢0¢
    $1.7K
    -1¢—
    131¢2¢0¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    141¢2¢0¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    151¢2¢0¢
    $2.2K
    -1¢—
    160¢—0¢
    $677
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1The Black Ball
    50%
    50¢—
    2The Odyssey
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    3The Invite
    22%
    22¢—
    4Project Hail Mary
    3¢-1¢
    5Wildwood
    2¢-2¢
    6Dune: Part Three
    2¢-1¢
    7The Social Reckoning
    2¢-2¢
    8All of a Sudden
    1¢-1¢
    9Saturn Return
    1¢-1¢
    10Cry to Heaven
    1¢-1¢
    11Toy Story 5
    1¢-1¢
    12Clarissa
    1¢-1¢
    13The Whisper Man
    1¢-1¢
    14Ink
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2027

    ~436 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $74.8K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...