Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

    Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner Live odds across 15 markets: The Odyssey at 27¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
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    Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $47.2K

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    76¢

    Project Hail Mary

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Dune: Part Three

    Arb Opportunities

    12

    Best gross: 64¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 15
    #
    176¢76¢
    $6.1K+$1 24h
    64¢🔥
    250¢26¢74¢
    $9.7K
    -2¢
    45¢🔥
    343¢43¢
    $3.9K+$9 24h
    -4¢
    32¢🔥
    427¢27¢87¢
    $4.7K+$31 24h
    57¢🔥
    522¢22¢72¢
    $7.7K+$18 24h
    -2¢
    47¢🔥
    621¢36¢
    $1.2K
    -2¢
    26¢🔥
    720¢39¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢
    34¢🔥
    818¢33¢
    $4.7K
    -8¢
    23¢🔥
    9
    16¢28¢
    $969
    -4¢
    15¢🔥
    1011¢
    $2.0K
    -7¢
    1113¢
    $655
    -2¢
    8¢🔥
    1211¢
    $1.5K
    -2¢
    8¢🔥
    13
    $269
    -2¢
    5¢🔥
    14
    $1.2K
    -2¢
    15
    $1.6K
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Project Hail Mary
    76%
    76¢
    2The Black Ball
    50%
    50¢-2¢
    3The Social Reckoning
    43%
    43¢-4¢
    4The Odyssey
    27%
    27¢
    5The Invite
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    6The Adventures of Cliff Booth
    21%
    21¢-2¢
    7All of a Sudden
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    8Dune: Part Three
    18%
    18¢-8¢
    9Ink
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    10Wildwood
    -7¢
    11Cry to Heaven
    -2¢
    12Toy Story 5
    -2¢
    13The Whisper Man
    -2¢
    14Clarissa
    -2¢
    15Saturn Return
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2027

    ~494 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $47.2K
    Arb Opportunities
    12

    Whale Activity

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