TRADING OPEN

    OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $10.4K

    +$50 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 45-50%
    		30¢30¢
    $3.7K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Democrat 40-45%
    		23¢23¢
    $2.5K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Democrat 50-55%
    		22¢22¢
    $2.1K
    		-2¢—
    4
    Democrat 30-35%
    		12¢12¢
    $341
    		-5¢—
    5
    Democrat 20-30%
    		8¢8¢
    $284+$50 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    Democrat 0-20%
    		5¢5¢
    $546
    		-1¢—
    7
    Democrat 55-60%
    		4¢4¢
    $297
    		-5¢—
    8
    Democrat 60%+
    		3¢3¢
    $126
    		-3¢—
    9
    Democrat 35-40%
    		3¢3¢
    $276
    		-5¢—
    10
    Republican Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $187
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 45-50%
    30%
    30¢-1¢
    2Democrat 40-45%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3Democrat 50-55%
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    4Democrat 30-35%
    12%
    12¢-5¢
    5Democrat 20-30%
    8¢-2¢
    6Democrat 0-20%
    5¢-1¢
    7Democrat 55-60%
    4¢-5¢
    8Democrat 60%+
    3¢-3¢
    9Democrat 35-40%
    3¢-5¢
    10Republican Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $10.4K

    Whale Activity

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