TRADING OPEN

    OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.9K

    +$1.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -13¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 25-30%
    		25¢25¢
    $6.8K+$739 24h
    		+2¢—
    2
    Republican 20-25%📈 Trending
    		21¢21¢
    $3.9K+$90 24h
    		-13¢—
    3
    Republican 30-35%
    		14¢14¢
    $3.4K+$90 24h
    		-8¢—
    4
    Republican 15-20% Hot
    		11¢11¢
    $4.2K+$136 24h
    		-3¢—
    5
    Democrat Wins
    		6¢6¢
    $275+$42 24h
    		-7¢—
    6
    Republican 0-5%
    		5¢5¢
    $252+$50 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    Republican 40-45%
    		5¢5¢
    $410+$108 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Republican 35-40%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.4K+$98 24h
    		-2¢—
    9
    Republican 45%+
    		4¢4¢
    $2.0K+$88 24h
    		-8¢—
    10
    Republican 5-15%
    		2¢2¢
    $1.4K+$30 24h
    		-4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    25%
    25¢+2¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    21%
    21¢-13¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    14%
    14¢-8¢
    4Republican 15-20%
    11¢-3¢
    5Democrat Wins
    6¢-7¢
    6Republican 0-5%
    5¢-3¢
    7Republican 40-45%
    5¢-4¢
    8Republican 35-40%
    5¢-2¢
    9Republican 45%+
    4¢-8¢
    10Republican 5-15%
    2¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.9K

    Whale Activity

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