TRADING OPEN

    OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.2K

    +$184 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    36¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 30-35%
    		36¢36¢
    $7.3K+$75 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 35-40%
    		29¢29¢
    $4.8K+$67 24h
    		-3¢—
    3
    Republican 40-45%📈 Trending
    		15¢15¢
    $1.6K+$2 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    Republican 15-25%
    		11¢11¢
    $961+$2 24h
    		——
    5
    Republican 25-30%
    		11¢11¢
    $3.4K+$28 24h
    		-10¢—
    6
    Republican 45-50%
    		4¢4¢
    $922+$2 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    Republican 50-55%
    		2¢2¢
    $1.2K+$2 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    Republican 55%+
    		2¢2¢
    $822+$2 24h
    		-1¢—
    9
    Republican 0-15%
    		0¢0¢
    $1.3K+$2 24h
    		——
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $973+$2 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30-35%
    36%
    36¢—
    2Republican 35-40%
    29%
    29¢-3¢
    3Republican 40-45%
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    4Republican 15-25%
    11¢—
    5Republican 25-30%
    11¢-10¢
    6Republican 45-50%
    4¢-3¢
    7Republican 50-55%
    2¢-1¢
    8Republican 55%+
    2¢-1¢
    9Republican 0-15%
    0¢—
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.2K

    Whale Activity

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