Scotus & Courts

    Obama federally charged before 2027?

    Ilhan Omar leads by 6 pts · 17 candidates at 5%+

    1. Ilhan Omar#119%
    2. John Brennan#213%
    3. Jensen Huang#312%
    #4 Dan J. Sullivan9%#5 Peter Strzok7%+41 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $2.6M
    24h
    $21.5K
    Liquidity
    $19.7K
    Candidates
    46
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 46 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Ilhan Omar19%
    • John Brennan13%
    • Jensen Huang12%
    • Dan J. Sullivan9%
    • Peter Strzok7%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Ilhan Omar24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Adam Schiff24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Ilhan Omar$527.4K vol19%▼ 3kalshi20¢22¢ after fees
    John Brennan$82.6K vol13%▲ 1kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Jensen Huang$1.8K vol12%—kalshi20¢22¢ after fees
    Dan J. Sullivan$34.4K vol9%—kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Peter Strzok$12.7K vol7%—kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Larry Krasner$1.4K vol7%▼ 2kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Corey Lewandowski$6.9K vol7%—kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Fani Willis$14.4K vol6%▼ 1kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    James Clapper$22.4K vol6%—kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Gustavo Petro$15.7K vol6%▲ 2kalshi9¢10¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Barack Obama has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution sour…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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